@Submitted Feb8th2024 - That actually makes no sense. All waivers are done in Virginia. I certainly don't have as MANY waivers outside of Ontario as in but I see no difference where they are processed. As a matter of fact, of all the July waivers that are in (about 6) only 1 was from Alberta.

I know we are all looking for patterns so we can make logical guesses, but remember at the border all they are doing is fingerprints, checking the paperwork (which they don't even keep) and then they simply verify the person was there.

I don't think the location matters. Does anyone else see a pattern based on location that I am missing?

@J Rogers Really appreciate the updates, could you add where the submission was? (which port of entry?) I feel like this has a large part to do with the timing. From everything I'm reading in the threads, Ontario submissions and timelines seem to be way longer than then what they are seeing out west in BC and Alberta. I think obviously the volume of Waivers is larger here, but I think also the border agents at the Ontario borders definitely are not pushing them through at the same pace. Any thoughts to this?

2 YEAR WAIVER. HE HAD A 1 YEAR FIRST.

This is an unusual amount of 2 year waivers. Especially coming off a 1 year waiver. In my experience it was always 1 then 5 if anything.

11/22/2024, 11:00 AM EST : Status changed to Completed
1/25/2024, 02:31 PM EST : Status changed to Submitted to ARO
1/11/2024, 02:43 PM EST : Status changed to Paid
1/11/2024, 02:40 PM EST : Status changed to Signed
12/8/2023, 01:32 PM EST : Application Created

So they must be mainly working on January waivers now right? So if a client went in LATE JULY and is a re-application, it should not be done yet...right?

And here we are. He had a 1 year first. Now a 2 year. He does have about 15 convictions but the last one was 1997.

2 year waiver

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Status History (5)
11/21/2024, 09:00 AM EST : Status changed to Completed
7/24/2024, 12:00 PM EDT : Status changed to Submitted to ARO
7/5/2024, 03:56 PM EDT : Status changed to Paid
7/5/2024, 03:54 PM EDT : Status changed to Signed
6/4/2024, 11:13 AM EDT : Application Created

With some exceptions, for my clients they seem to be doing January 2024 right now. This is 6 waivers in the past few days, all for people who went to the border in January.

5 YEAR WAIVER

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Status History (5)
11/20/2024, 09:30 AM EST : Status changed to Completed
1/12/2024, 03:37 PM EST : Status changed to Submitted to ARO
1/10/2024, 06:29 PM EST : Status changed to Paid
1/10/2024, 06:27 PM EST : Status changed to Signed
1/8/2024, 10:55 AM EST : Application Created

3 1 year waivers in a row, but the bottom 2 were importing which is quite serious. So it is NOT a trend of 1 year waivers.

1 year waiver

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Status History (5)
11/15/2024, 01:00 PM EST : Status changed to Completed
1/11/2024, 02:37 PM EST : Status changed to Submitted to ARO
1/3/2024, 04:21 PM EST : Status changed to Paid
1/3/2024, 04:19 PM EST : Status changed to Signed
12/11/2023, 02:15 PM EST : Application Created

1 year waiver

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Status History (5)
11/19/2024, 11:22 AM EST : Status changed to Completed
1/11/2024, 03:07 PM EST : Status changed to Submitted to ARO
1/3/2024, 04:37 PM EST : Status changed to Paid
1/3/2024, 04:35 PM EST : Status changed to Signed
12/11/2023, 01:27 PM EST : Application Created

1 year Waiver

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Status History (5)
11/20/2024, 03:00 PM EST : Status changed to Completed
1/22/2024, 04:00 PM EST : Status changed to Submitted to ARO
12/19/2023, 11:53 AM EST : Status changed to Paid
12/19/2023, 11:51 AM EST : Status changed to Signed
12/8/2023, 04:11 PM EST : Application Created

5-year waiver. Renewal. Had an expungement so i'm not sure if that helped at all. See you all in 5 years.

11/19/2024, 11:20 AM EST : Status changed to Completed
7/22/2024, 11:31 AM EDT : Status changed to Submitted to ARO
7/19/2024, 11:50 AM EDT : Status changed to Paid
7/19/2024, 11:48 AM EDT : Status changed to Signed
7/19/2024, 06:11 AM EDT : Application Created

1 year waiver first one

11/19/2024, 11:20 AM EST : Status changed to Completed
1/19/2024, 10:37 AM EST : Status changed to Submitted to ARO
1/17/2024, 03:39 PM EST : Status changed to Paid
1/17/2024, 03:33 PM EST : Status changed to Signed
1/2/2024, 10:30 AM EST : Application Created

@J Rogers these applications are alllll over the place! Been waiting since March 2023

Just a request for more info, but look, filed in January as well.

11/19/2024, 11:22 AM EST : Status changed to Request for More Information
1/15/2024, 01:37 PM EST : Status changed to Submitted to ARO
12/22/2023, 03:12 PM EST : Status changed to Paid
12/22/2023, 03:07 PM EST : Status changed to Signed
10/18/2023, 09:19 AM EDT : Application Created

This is my third waiver granted today, and with the other guy who posted today that's 4 all done in January 2024

5 year waiver first time waiver

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Status History (5)
11/19/2024, 11:21 AM EST : Status changed to Completed
1/19/2024, 12:38 PM EST : Status changed to Submitted to ARO
1/10/2024, 04:04 PM EST : Status changed to Paid
1/9/2024, 04:28 PM EST : Status changed to Signed
1/3/2024, 02:30 PM EST : Application Created

First waiver 1 year
11/19/2024, 11:21 AM EST : Status changed to Completed
1/12/2024, 10:07 AM EST : Status changed to Submitted to ARO
1/11/2024, 02:47 PM EST : Status changed to Paid
1/11/2024, 02:45 PM EST : Status changed to Signed
12/17/2023, 04:56 PM EST : Application Created

5 year waiver. first time application.

Conditional Discharge 2005 Possession of marijuana.

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5 year waiver.

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Status History (5)
11/14/2024, 01:30 PM EST : Status changed to Completed
1/8/2024, 01:07 PM EST : Status changed to Submitted to ARO
12/5/2023, 04:53 PM EST : Status changed to Paid
12/5/2023, 04:45 PM EST : Status changed to Signed
12/4/2023, 01:53 PM EST : Application Created

1 YEAR WAIVER. First time. Deported in 2008 no criminal record. Basically tried to get a Green Card as an asylum applicant but was already a Canadian Citizen.

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Status History (5)
11/14/2024, 12:31 PM EST : Status changed to Completed
1/9/2024, 10:39 AM EST : Status changed to Submitted to ARO
1/5/2024, 03:19 PM EST : Status changed to Paid
1/5/2024, 03:15 PM EST : Status changed to Signed
1/5/2024, 10:46 AM EST : Application Created

Thank you as always, @J Rogers. I appreciate you sharing your insights very much as well as your humour!
Those Julys give me some hope! :)

I can’t believe we are at this point with Trump back in office. Trying not to let the pessimism take over me.

@Ana just teasing. But you are correct that SOME waivers are a year. I have Julys, but I also have Novembers. Its all over the place. Also, you had said you felt/heard the border was pulling resources and I said it was a conspiracy, but in truth who knows? So when I say deep state i am kidding but we really have no idea so in a way making fun of myself too. I can only follow the numbers and speculate, but that also means I cannot discount that something else was going on.

Lol @J Rogers
Seems as though we are now using Deep State as a euphemism for “pessimism”

Let me know if I’m mistaking something you’re alluding to or hinting at. I may be completely out to lunch haha.

Fingers crossed for everyone on here waiting anxiously.

@Ana that's the deep state talking!

But in some cases you are right. Like this one.

1 year waiver 1st application

Completed
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Status History (5)
11/15/2024, 09:00 AM EST : Status changed to Completed
1/9/2024, 12:07 PM EST : Status changed to Submitted to ARO
12/19/2023, 11:10 AM EST : Status changed to Paid
12/19/2023, 11:08 AM EST : Status changed to Signed
12/1/2023, 10:31 AM EST : Application Create

Seems as though the average processing times are ~11 months now :(